Afternoon all, it is heating up now as expected and much hotter weather to come, and we are going to see many weather extremes and severe events between now and the start of 2024. A special treat today, I thought I would explain in a video why this Positive IOD and El Niño is just imaginary, and why the real reason it is dry at this point for inland areas is because of the removal of water vapour out of the atmosphere. You should be asking key questions to anyone who presents models, or anomalie
20:09
Afternoon all, it is heating up now as expected and much hotter weather to come, and we are going to see many weather extremes and severe events between now and the start of 2024. A special treat today, I thought I would explain in a video why this Positive IOD and El Niño is just imaginary, and why the real reason it is dry at this point for inland areas is because of the removal of water vapour out of the atmosphere. You should be asking key questions to anyone who presents models, or anomalie
7K viewsSep 13, 2023
FacebookAV Weather
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Good morning all, another video today, this time I am looking at a lot of the data that you don't get to see, most people here only get to see the forecast by the computer models, not any of the data that goes into them. And if you get to see the data points that go into them, the deception then become front and centre. Here is a list of things that show an El Niño : Sea Surface Temp anomalies. Southern Oscillation Index. (barely) Here is a list of things that don't show an El Niño. SST actual t
15:28
Good morning all, another video today, this time I am looking at a lot of the data that you don't get to see, most people here only get to see the forecast by the computer models, not any of the data that goes into them. And if you get to see the data points that go into them, the deception then become front and centre. Here is a list of things that show an El Niño : Sea Surface Temp anomalies. Southern Oscillation Index. (barely) Here is a list of things that don't show an El Niño. SST actual t
111.5K viewsSep 17, 2023
FacebookAV Weather
Good morning all, today is your lucky day, I have recorded a video for everyone this morning to watch, and to share far and wide. Basically the models are garbage and today whilst perusing through the data I saw something that had alarm bells all over it. And because the models are forecasting something which won't happen, the BOM and other agencies will continually get their forecasts wrong. I present daily videos with much more detailed data than this, if you wish to subscribe you can do so us
10:13
Good morning all, today is your lucky day, I have recorded a video for everyone this morning to watch, and to share far and wide. Basically the models are garbage and today whilst perusing through the data I saw something that had alarm bells all over it. And because the models are forecasting something which won't happen, the BOM and other agencies will continually get their forecasts wrong. I present daily videos with much more detailed data than this, if you wish to subscribe you can do so us
71K viewsJan 16, 2024
FacebookAV Weather
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Good morning all, Cyclone Jasper update, it is now weakening rapidly and breaking down, it is now a category 2 cyclone and will weaken further over the next 48 hours. The latest JTWC forecast is attached. It is still likely to cross the coast somewhere near Port Douglas, it may briefly intensify on Tuesday and then weaken again as it comes closer to the coast before landfall. It could also weaken out and not even be a cyclone before landfall. Despite this, huge rainfall is likely for this region
0:02
Good morning all, Cyclone Jasper update, it is now weakening rapidly and breaking down, it is now a category 2 cyclone and will weaken further over the next 48 hours. The latest JTWC forecast is attached. It is still likely to cross the coast somewhere near Port Douglas, it may briefly intensify on Tuesday and then weaken again as it comes closer to the coast before landfall. It could also weaken out and not even be a cyclone before landfall. Despite this, huge rainfall is likely for this region
6.8K viewsDec 9, 2023
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Good afternoon all, just a quick update today, as you can see the atmosphere is still being decimated with Antarctic type dry air over the country, see the water vapour loop attached, despite decent moisture flow from the East. This is creating higher pressure over Darwin, which has just recorded the highest pressure for a 3 week period in recorded history. I will let this sink in for a bit, the strongest El Niño and super droughts in history have not produced higher pressure then what we have j
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Good afternoon all, another lucky day for you all, I have uploaded a free video for everyone to watch, apparently it is too early to tell whether or not a La Niña will develop in 2024. In normal terms, that is correct, as we have the autumn predictability barrier. But that is only if you have any faith in models. In this video, I show some good examples of models being models, and unable to think. There is plenty of data to look at, and I took a look at a couple of key ones in this video, subscr
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